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Duel Filter V1 · Daily research cohort

Suppression Candidates

The original pitcher-duel hypothesis, evaluated with immutable point-in-time starter and bullpen snapshots.

Research benchmark only · A cohort match is not a betting recommendation
Evaluated11
V1 matches0
Rejected7
Incomplete4

Point-in-time audit

Daily evaluations

Private source connected
Sep 7, 12:05 PM CDTCitizens Bank Park
Does not match

Away

Atlanta Braves

Grant Holmesprobable

xERA
4.73
K-BB%
8.7%
Bullpen
#3

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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Philadelphia Phillies

Jesús Luzardoprobable

xERA
2.92
K-BB%
22.7%
Bullpen
#19

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Does not match

The evaluation was complete, but one or more immutable V1 thresholds did not pass.

Thresholds not met

  • Grant HolmesxERA

    Grant Holmes recorded a 4.73 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    4.73
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Grant HolmesK-BB%

    Grant Holmes recorded a 8.7% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    8.7%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Philadelphia Phillies bullpenBullpen ERA rank

    Philadelphia Phillies bullpen recorded a #19 ERA rank. V1 requires each bullpen to be in the top 10 (#1–#10).

    Observed
    #19
    V1 requirement
    Top 10 (#1–#10)

    home_bullpen_era_rank_not_top_10

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 823415
Sep 7, 12:10 PM CDTloanDepot park
Does not match

Away

New York Mets

Jonah Tongprobable

xERA
4.01
K-BB%
0.0%
Bullpen
#9

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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Miami Marlins

Eury Pérezprobable

xERA
4.04
K-BB%
15.5%
Bullpen
#15

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Does not match

The evaluation was complete, but one or more immutable V1 thresholds did not pass.

Thresholds not met

  • Jonah TongxERA

    Jonah Tong recorded a 4.01 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    4.01
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Eury PérezxERA

    Eury Pérez recorded a 4.04 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    4.04
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Jonah TongK-BB%

    Jonah Tong recorded a 0.0% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    0.0%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Eury PérezK-BB%

    Eury Pérez recorded a 15.5% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    15.5%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Miami Marlins bullpenBullpen ERA rank

    Miami Marlins bullpen recorded a #15 ERA rank. V1 requires each bullpen to be in the top 10 (#1–#10).

    Observed
    #15
    V1 requirement
    Top 10 (#1–#10)

    home_bullpen_era_rank_not_top_10

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 823820
Sep 7, 12:35 PM CDTFenway Park
Incomplete data

Away

Los Angeles Angels

Grayson Rodriguezprobable

xERA
5.40
K-BB%
11.2%
Bullpen
#21

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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Boston Red Sox

Starter not linkedunknown

xERA
—
K-BB%
—
Bullpen
#2

Pitcher stats through not available

Incomplete data

No pass/fail conclusion was made because required point-in-time evidence was missing.

Missing point-in-time inputs

  • Boston Red Sox starterxERA

    No point-in-time xERA snapshot was linked for Boston Red Sox starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    missing_home_starter_xera

  • Boston Red Sox starterK-BB%

    No point-in-time K-BB% snapshot was linked for Boston Red Sox starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    missing_home_starter_k_minus_bb

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 824715
Sep 7, 12:35 PM CDTOriole Park at Camden Yards
Does not match

Away

Cleveland Guardians

Joey Cantilloprobable

xERA
4.04
K-BB%
12.8%
Bullpen
#7

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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Baltimore Orioles

Trevor Rogersprobable

xERA
3.76
K-BB%
15.8%
Bullpen
#10

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Does not match

The evaluation was complete, but one or more immutable V1 thresholds did not pass.

Thresholds not met

  • Joey CantilloxERA

    Joey Cantillo recorded a 4.04 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    4.04
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Trevor RogersxERA

    Trevor Rogers recorded a 3.76 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    3.76
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Joey CantilloK-BB%

    Joey Cantillo recorded a 12.8% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    12.8%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Trevor RogersK-BB%

    Trevor Rogers recorded a 15.8% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    15.8%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 824793
Sep 7, 1:10 PM CDTKauffman Stadium
Incomplete data

Away

Arizona Diamondbacks

Starter not linkedunknown

xERA
—
K-BB%
—
Bullpen
#15

Pitcher stats through not available

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Kansas City Royals

Noah Cameronprobable

xERA
4.06
K-BB%
13.8%
Bullpen
#28

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Incomplete data

No pass/fail conclusion was made because required point-in-time evidence was missing.

Missing point-in-time inputs

  • Arizona Diamondbacks starterxERA

    No point-in-time xERA snapshot was linked for Arizona Diamondbacks starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    missing_away_starter_xera

  • Arizona Diamondbacks starterK-BB%

    No point-in-time K-BB% snapshot was linked for Arizona Diamondbacks starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    missing_away_starter_k_minus_bb

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 824062
Sep 7, 1:10 PM CDTAmerican Family Field
Does not match

Away

Chicago Cubs

Matthew Boydprobable

xERA
4.86
K-BB%
11.3%
Bullpen
#13

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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Milwaukee Brewers

Robert Gasserprobable

xERA
4.15
K-BB%
14.6%
Bullpen
#4

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Does not match

The evaluation was complete, but one or more immutable V1 thresholds did not pass.

Thresholds not met

  • Matthew BoydxERA

    Matthew Boyd recorded a 4.86 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    4.86
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Robert GasserxERA

    Robert Gasser recorded a 4.15 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    4.15
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Matthew BoydK-BB%

    Matthew Boyd recorded a 11.3% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    11.3%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Robert GasserK-BB%

    Robert Gasser recorded a 14.6% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    14.6%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Chicago Cubs bullpenBullpen ERA rank

    Chicago Cubs bullpen recorded a #13 ERA rank. V1 requires each bullpen to be in the top 10 (#1–#10).

    Observed
    #13
    V1 requirement
    Top 10 (#1–#10)

    away_bullpen_era_rank_not_top_10

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 823742
Sep 7, 2:10 PM CDTComerica Park
Incomplete data

Away

Minnesota Twins

Starter not linkedunknown

xERA
—
K-BB%
—
Bullpen
#27

Pitcher stats through not available

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Detroit Tigers

Troy Meltonprobable

xERA
3.58
K-BB%
13.5%
Bullpen
#12

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Incomplete data

No pass/fail conclusion was made because required point-in-time evidence was missing.

Missing point-in-time inputs

  • Minnesota Twins starterxERA

    No point-in-time xERA snapshot was linked for Minnesota Twins starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    missing_away_starter_xera

  • Minnesota Twins starterK-BB%

    No point-in-time K-BB% snapshot was linked for Minnesota Twins starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    missing_away_starter_k_minus_bb

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 824229
Sep 7, 4:10 PM CDTPetco Park
Does not match

Away

Washington Nationals

Jake Irvinprobable

xERA
5.29
K-BB%
12.4%
Bullpen
#29

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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San Diego Padres

Nick Pivettaprobable

xERA
1.87
K-BB%
27.3%
Bullpen
#5

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Does not match

The evaluation was complete, but one or more immutable V1 thresholds did not pass.

Thresholds not met

  • Jake IrvinxERA

    Jake Irvin recorded a 5.29 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    5.29
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Jake IrvinK-BB%

    Jake Irvin recorded a 12.4% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    12.4%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Washington Nationals bullpenBullpen ERA rank

    Washington Nationals bullpen recorded a #29 ERA rank. V1 requires each bullpen to be in the top 10 (#1–#10).

    Observed
    #29
    V1 requirement
    Top 10 (#1–#10)

    away_bullpen_era_rank_not_top_10

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 823254
Sep 7, 7:10 PM CDTOracle Park
Does not match

Away

St. Louis Cardinals

Michael McGreevyprobable

xERA
5.36
K-BB%
10.2%
Bullpen
#24

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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San Francisco Giants

Logan Webbprobable

xERA
4.06
K-BB%
13.0%
Bullpen
#20

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Does not match

The evaluation was complete, but one or more immutable V1 thresholds did not pass.

Thresholds not met

  • Michael McGreevyxERA

    Michael McGreevy recorded a 5.36 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    5.36
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Logan WebbxERA

    Logan Webb recorded a 4.06 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    4.06
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Michael McGreevyK-BB%

    Michael McGreevy recorded a 10.2% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    10.2%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    away_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Logan WebbK-BB%

    Logan Webb recorded a 13.0% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    13.0%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • St. Louis Cardinals bullpenBullpen ERA rank

    St. Louis Cardinals bullpen recorded a #24 ERA rank. V1 requires each bullpen to be in the top 10 (#1–#10).

    Observed
    #24
    V1 requirement
    Top 10 (#1–#10)

    away_bullpen_era_rank_not_top_10

  • San Francisco Giants bullpenBullpen ERA rank

    San Francisco Giants bullpen recorded a #20 ERA rank. V1 requires each bullpen to be in the top 10 (#1–#10).

    Observed
    #20
    V1 requirement
    Top 10 (#1–#10)

    home_bullpen_era_rank_not_top_10

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 823175
Sep 7, 8:10 PM CDTUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Incomplete data

Away

Cincinnati Reds

Chase Burnsprobable

xERA
3.23
K-BB%
20.4%
Bullpen
#25

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Starter not linkedunknown

xERA
—
K-BB%
—
Bullpen
#11

Pitcher stats through not available

Incomplete data

No pass/fail conclusion was made because required point-in-time evidence was missing.

Missing point-in-time inputs

  • Los Angeles Dodgers starterxERA

    No point-in-time xERA snapshot was linked for Los Angeles Dodgers starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    missing_home_starter_xera

  • Los Angeles Dodgers starterK-BB%

    No point-in-time K-BB% snapshot was linked for Los Angeles Dodgers starter when this evaluation ran. V1 did not infer a replacement value.

    Observed
    Missing at evaluation
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    missing_home_starter_k_minus_bb

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 823902
Sep 7, 9:05 PM CDTSutter Health Park
Does not match

Away

Toronto Blue Jays

Dylan Ceaseprobable

xERA
2.73
K-BB%
25.1%
Bullpen
#8

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

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Athletics

Jacob Lopezprobable

xERA
3.40
K-BB%
10.9%
Bullpen
#30

Pitcher stats through 2026-09-07

Does not match

The evaluation was complete, but one or more immutable V1 thresholds did not pass.

Thresholds not met

  • Jacob LopezxERA

    Jacob Lopez recorded a 3.40 xERA. V1 requires each starter to be below 3.25.

    Observed
    3.40
    V1 requirement
    Below 3.25

    Exactly 3.25 does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_xera_not_below_3_25

  • Jacob LopezK-BB%

    Jacob Lopez recorded a 10.9% K-BB%. V1 requires each starter to be above 18.0%.

    Observed
    10.9%
    V1 requirement
    Above 18.0%

    Exactly 18.0% does not pass this V1 rule.

    home_starter_k_minus_bb_not_above_18pct

  • Athletics bullpenBullpen ERA rank

    Athletics bullpen recorded a #30 ERA rank. V1 requires each bullpen to be in the top 10 (#1–#10).

    Observed
    #30
    V1 requirement
    Top 10 (#1–#10)

    home_bullpen_era_rank_not_top_10

Duel Filter V1 · v1.0.0Evaluated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTInputs updated Sep 7, 9:17 AM CDTMLB 824958